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Nuclear power will restart soon: domestic investment space analysis

2015/1/20

Recently, the national development and reform commission secretary Li Piaomin says, our country has to coastal nuclear power engineering packages listed in the national major project construction, will use the highest international safety standards, on the premise of ensuring security, launch a number of coastal nuclear power engineering.Since this is the most recent nuclear power resumption of clear expression.

Domestic nuclear power project examination and approval after the fukushima accident, suspended.Since 2014, the resumption of domestic nuclear power project examination and approval of signal constantly release.

The nuclear industry on behalf of the power of a country.Now, the energy structure adjustment in urgent need of nuclear power output, domestic economy also need to boost the development of nuclear power equipment, combined with the domestic new generation nuclear power technology breakthrough, safe nuclear power strategy will not change, it's just a matter of timing.

And the center of gravity of the nuclear power development is in a nuclear power plant safety checks, route of existing nuclear power technologies to improve fusion, promote nuclear power equipment of "going out".

Nuclear power for examination and approval to restart, with an average annual investment of 70 billion yuan of above

The national energy development strategy has been clear about the future of nuclear power development market space.The national energy development strategic action plan (2014-2020), is put forward, in the highest international safety standards, to ensure safety under the premise of timely to start a new nuclear power projects in the eastern coastal areas, inland nuclear power construction research argument.By 2020, nuclear power installed capacity of 58 million kilowatts, construction capacity of 30 million kw or more.

According to the authority of the national energy administration, at present our country running nuclear power unit, 21 sets installed capacity of 19.02 million kilowatts;27, the construction of nuclear power units have installed capacity of 29.53 million kilowatts, construction unit number of the first in the world.The current capacity of 48.55 million kw and 2020 88 million kilowatts of commissioning and construction scale have larger gap.

Most of the industry are expected to be the next six years, every year there are about 6 sets will unit (per unit capacity is 1 million kw).Annual investment, at $12000 per kilowatt nuclear power construction investment scale will be in 70 billion yuan of above.Nuclear power plant construction will bring opportunities for nuclear power equipment manufacturing enterprises, after the completion of the plant need a large number of equipment maintenance and fuel production and processing enterprises.

Look from the category of the current energy structure adjustment, China proposed non-fossil energy to 20% in 2030, nuclear power will be in the development of non-fossil energy contribution to the larger power.At present, the proportion of nuclear power in energy in China is still far below the world average level, the world's nuclear power accounted for the proportion of electricity is about 15% or so, China's nuclear power accounted for only about 2%.

Nuclear power development space for what was sharply into the possible.On November 26, the state council issued the about innovation key areas of investment and financing mechanism to encourage social investment guidelines ".Views in particular, in ensuring that possess nuclear power holding qualification subject under the premise of nuclear safety responsibility, encourage private capital to nuclear power equipment development and nuclear power services.

Thus, in addition to the nuclear war industry core scientific research and production, and related equipment development of nuclear power will be corporation into the open.These areas include nuclear seals, cables, valves and other equipment, X-ray testing and other services.

The technology route "three pillar", normalized competition relations

For a long time, China's nuclear technology to present the state of the "three pillar", whether in the nuclear, CGNPC, or the nuclear technology company has independent intellectual property rights of three generations of nuclear power technology, respectively in the nuclear ACP1000, CGNPC CAP1400 ACPR1000 + and the nuclear technology.

On August 22 this year, "hualong" number one through the national energy administration and the national nuclear security administration joint design review of the organization."Hualong" number one nuclear power technology, refers to the nuclear ACP1000 and wide nuclear ACPR1000 + the fusion of two kinds of technology, known as "China's independent research and development of three generations of nuclear power technology route".

"Hualong, positioning is to export technology, in the reactor and fuel components, auxiliary system, etc, can be done completely independent operation and construction.Recently, the national energy administration has approved the nuclear fuqing unit 5, 6, "hualong" number one technical solution, and CGNPC fangcheng port phase ii project.

Although hualong is number one in nuclear, CGNPC two technology integration to form, but in terms of technology patents, nuclear power plant project gains two estimated still need running-in, game.

Prior to this, the national introduction of three generations of nuclear power technology AP1000 nuclear power technology company, is regarded as the major domestic technical route, but three, four demonstration units of haiyang different technical problems, project delays.Over the same period, hualong technology solutions landing number one, make the domestic nuclear power market have more choice.

Be expected over the next several technical route will coexist in the field of national nuclear power, including hualong 1, CAP1400, EPR, and high temperature gas cooled reactor nuclear power technology, every technological all have different characteristics, in their respective demonstration project is completed, investors can choose according to factors such as safety, economy.

Push nuclear power of "going out", the management pattern may be adjusted

Similar to high-speed rail, nuclear power is the domestic equipment manufacturing industry to go out on behalf of the industry.Promoting nuclear power to go out and participate in the competition of international market, one is to develop nuclear power international competitiveness, driving the development of domestic high-end manufacturing.The second is the integration of the world's nuclear power of mineral resources and market share.

Nuclear power in China after 30 years development, the domestic nuclear power equipment manufacturing capacity at about 8 sets.To promote nuclear export, national leaders to act as "salesman" roles.Recently, the state council premier li keqiang during a visit to central and eastern European countries, and Romania, the Czech republic signed the peaceful use of nuclear energy cooperation documents, and nuclear energy cooperation agreement with Hungary.

In June this year, li keqiang, during a visit to the UK, the both sides signed the joint declaration in areas such as nuclear power, the UK welcomes Chinese businesses continue to investment in the UK nuclear power and high-speed rail projects;On July 18, during a visit to Argentina President xi jinping, china-arab signed the agreement on cooperation construction heavy water reactor nuclear power plant in Argentina ".

During the period of OPEC, the nuclear group and the Canadian he energy companies signed a framework of a joint venture agreement, jointly develop domestic and international nuclear power market;Wu Xinxiong with South Africa's energy minister, head of the national energy administration, Paterson signed a nuclear cooperation framework agreement between the governments of the two countries.

On November 24, state nuclear power technology company, American Westinghouse and Turkey EUAS state-owned power generation company signed a cooperation memorandum, start the development and construction of four nuclear power unit in Turkey exclusive negotiations.

At present, the scope of nuclear cooperation between the great powers in the development, the competition is intensifying.Can not be ignored, in the process of "going out", China's nuclear companies also compete on the same project.

To promote the development of nuclear power, nuclear power industry management system may change in the future.Based on the experience of the high-speed rail to sea, there are form national nuclear investment company, to integrate resources, strengthen coordination, unified service national strategy.

Nuclear power challenge: talent technology, spent fuel treatment facility is short

Nuclear power after a round of internal adjustment, waiting for the next round of the project to restart.In the new "leapfrog" start, had to look at nuclear power problems and challenges.

Challenges are mainly concentrated in: one is the second generation nuclear power technology in the process of transition to the three generations, some of the key technology and equipment is not fully.Are three generations of the construction of nuclear power unit pump valve problems, design of curing.

Second, the domestic nuclear power development security system need further improvement, especially the legal security system.In our country, the atomic energy act and the relevant rules on the nuclear safety and nuclear power development and management of the relevant laws and regulations have not yet formally launched;The technology innovation ability, the scientific research investment, the important test method and so on also needs to further perfect;Personnel training requirements.

In addition, in the nuclear power industry chain spent fuel reprocessing ability is insufficient.Spent fuel reprocessing is a systematic project, the complex technology, large investment scale, wide field, is nuclear power facilities.Preliminary estimate, a 800 - ton post-processing companies need to invest billions of yuan.With the development of nuclear power, will build a plant every ten years, to national and enterprise special considerations in the construction planning and policy support.